Yet Another Country Invades Syria—Why?



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This is informative and

This is informative and grounded. However, I do not think that Washington uses the Turkish invasion for the purpose of regime change in Syria for two reasons. First, the Turkish operation is not in that level to threaten the regime as it is in the north far away from the capital Damascus. Al-Assad regime and his allies Moscow and Tehran would never allow deep Turkish intervention in Syria. Turks also are not brave enough to do so, and their principal aim is to crush the Kurdish semi-autonomous experience, placing instead pro-Turkish Islamist Gaza like enclaves. Second, Turkey depends on semi-ISIL Jihadists of Ahrar Al-Sahm, Jabhat Al-Nusrah and Sultan Murad who have been dressed in Turkish military uniform and changed their titles, but no change in their Jihadist mentality and agendas, which might contradict with any post-Assad system the US and its allies desire to see in Syria.

However, the Turkish invasion only pushed the Turkish-Jihadist border further inside Syria and made difficulties for Kurds to gather their strength and concentrate on their anti-ISIL resistance. This particularly affected the morale of Kurdish fighters and if continued it would damaged the anti-ISIL operation. The US administration would be better off not to abandon their disciplined, secular and pro-Western Kurdish fighters for the sake of bargaining with Erdogan regime who proved to be quite difficult to appease as an anti-Western Islamist leader. Kurds will suffer temporarily from the US bargain of appeasing Erdogan. Nevertheless, the big looser would be the US policy. The analytical study of the Middle East indicates that Jihadism would not be over by a military operation, and might last for decades. As ISIL and Turko-Jihaidsts eggs hatched new-brands of Jihadists, the US would feel the flavor of its mistake but it might be too late as it was the case of Saddam regime!

Azad Dewani 229 days ago

Reese Erlich responds:

Reese Erlich responds:
I largely agree with your insightful comment, Mr. Dewani. The US is making a huge mistake, and by no means its first, by siding with Turkey against the Syrian Kurds. Objectively, that decision will strengthen the very extremist groups the US says it opposes.

I agree that in the short run the Turkish invasion will not depose Assad. Turkish president Erdogan considers the Kurds a bigger enemy than extremist Sunni groups. However, should the Islamic State be defeated in Raqqa and elsewhere, the US will return its focus to replacing Assad with a pro-US regime, or at least one less hostile to US policy in the region. It's the difference between short term and long term objectives.

Progressive Web Editor 229 days ago

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